Market Update
Note: You can find the charts and graphs for the Local Lowdown at the end of this section.
February brought extraordinary price appreciation to San Francisco, with both single-family homes and condos posting impressive year-over-year gains. Single-family homes saw a remarkable 21.41% increase in median sale price, with the median home selling for $1,942,500. Condos also had an exceptional month, with the median sale price climbing 11.87% to $1,225,000.
The competition for homes has reached a fever pitch, with single-family homes selling for 16.5% over the original asking price on average, and condos selling for 4.3% over asking. This marks one of the strongest months for condo premiums in recent memory.
Despite the typical spring uptick in new listings, inventory levels remain drastically below where they were a year ago. There are currently just 157 single-family homes for sale in San Francisco, representing a 37.45% decline compared to February 2025.
The condo market is experiencing a similar shortage, with inventory down 38.81% year-over-year to just 391 units. Combined, there are fewer than 550 homes available for sale in the entire city. Until more homeowners decide to list their properties, this severe supply crunch will continue to fuel intense competition among buyers.
With inventory at such critically low levels, listings are being snapped up almost as soon as they hit the market. The average single-family home is selling in just 12 days, representing a 7.69% decrease compared to last February.
The condo market has seen an even more dramatic acceleration, with the average condo selling in just 14 days, a 26.32% year-over-year decline. This rapid pace means buyers must be prepared to act immediately when a desirable property becomes available, leaving little room for deliberation in this ultra-competitive market.
When determining whether a market is a buyer’s market or a seller’s market, we look to the Months of Supply Inventory (MSI) metric. The state of California has historically averaged around three months of MSI, so any area with around three months of supply is considered a balanced market. Markets with less than three months of supply are considered seller’s markets, while markets with more than three months are considered buyer’s markets.
With just 0.8 months of single-family home inventory and 2.1 months of condo inventory on the market, San Francisco remains a deeply entrenched seller’s market across all property types. Both figures represent year-over-year declines of more than 40%, underscoring just how tight conditions have become.
Sellers continue to hold all the leverage in negotiations, and there is no indication that this dynamic will shift any time soon.
Whether you're buying, selling, or just keeping an eye on the market, having the right local resources can help you make more confident decisions. Explore more from Jessica Rucker, including homes for sale in Bay Area neighborhoods, Jessica’s bio, home valuation tools, and real client success stories.
Helpful links to add below:
If you’re thinking about buying or selling in the Bay Area, Jessica is here to help you navigate the market with clarity, strategy, and local insight.
Stay up to date on the latest real estate trends.
Home Sale Case Study
How thoughtful preparation, family coordination, and strategic presentation helped this original-owner home attract 10 offers and a strong result.
Home Buyer Case Study
After months of touring homes and writing offers, one San Francisco buyer finally found the right fit in the Inner Mission.
Market Update
Home prices jumped sharply in February as inventory stayed extremely tight and buyers moved quickly across both single-family homes and condos.
Market Update
Santa Clara prices rebound, San Mateo softens, and fast-moving single-family homes keep the spring market competitive across Silicon Valley.
Silicon Valley
A tale of two markets as we kick off 2026
Market Update
How's the SF housing market? February 2026.
Silicon Valley
Real estate market trends in San Mateo, Santa Clara, & Santa Cruz counties
Home Sale Case Study
Why an Off-Market Strategy Was the Right Solution
You’ve got questions and we can’t wait to answer them.